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MBMatas Buzelis

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Matas Buzelis

Chicago Bulls · PF · 6'8"

16.3Points
5.8Rebounds
2.0Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 77 games. Team shown for this season.

Next game

CHI at TOR ·

14.2Points80% range 4.4–25.1
5.1Rebounds80% range 2.3–9.2
1.1Assists80% range 0.1–2.8
0.8Steals52% chance of 1+
0.8Blocks50% chance of 1+
2.0Threes82% chance of 1+
Explore all projections

Model projections · 2026.06.08-multistat-lgbm-q+ovl1 · Updated 2026-09-18 12:42:21. Sign in for the complete box score.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+0.15AUGURMeasured band ±1.39
-0.64Offense
+0.79Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 7,752 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.735Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 81% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss5.0
His game-to-game variation6.8
Expected at this scoring level6.8

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 77 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim45.0% of attempts+0.8
Short mid-range2.8% of attempts-9.1
Long mid-range0.8% of attempts-3.1
Corner three12.1% of attempts-0.3
Above-break three39.3% of attempts+11.6
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
30.3%Self-created makes
55.3%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 963 attempts · 81 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-03-10 · vs GSW

Projected19.4
Scored41.0

The call we got closest

2026-01-03 · vs CHO

Projected17.0
Scored17.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 82% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 77 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 229 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19