Vates Sports — NBA player projections

i Statistical projections — not betting advice. Actual results will differ. Full disclaimer

For informational purposes. These are estimates produced by a machine-learning model — not predictions of guaranteed outcomes, and not betting advice. Actual NBA performance will routinely, and sometimes significantly, differ.

Stat

	Player	Matchup	Proj	Range · P10–P50–P90

Offense vs defense —

	Team	Rec	Net	ORtg	DRtg	Pace	eFG%	3PM	TOV	Opp eFG%	Opp 3PM	Forced TO

Actual vs projected scoring —

	Player	GP	PPG	Proj	Volatility	MAE	Bias

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Top 15 — projected range

Risk vs. reward

ELO trajectory —

Offense vs defense —

Actual vs projected scoring —

Top 15 — projected rangei Bar spans the 80% interval (P10–P90). Hover for the median and point estimate.

ELO trajectory — i Each team's rolling strength rating across the season. Click a team on the left to add or remove its line.

Actual vs projected scoring — i Each dot is a player: average projection (x) vs actual average (y). Above the dashed line = under-rated by this measure; below = over-rated. Pinned players are ringed. Only players with 15+ games.

Top 15 — projected range

ELO trajectory —

Actual vs projected scoring —