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DMDoug McDermott

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Doug McDermott

Sacramento Kings · SF · 6'7"

5.7Points
1.3Rebounds
0.8Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 29 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-1.80AUGURMeasured band ±1.16
-0.17Offense
-1.62Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 3,451 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.733Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast
Our typical miss3.3
His game-to-game variation4.5
Expected at this scoring level4.6

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 29 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim7.2% of attempts-30.3
Short mid-range4.3% of attempts-9.8
Long mid-range0.0% of attempts-5.1
Corner three12.2% of attempts+1.4
Above-break three76.3% of attempts+43.8
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
3.7%Self-created makes
56.1%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 139 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-07 · vs GSW

Projected4.8
Scored16.0

The call we got closest

2026-02-09 · vs NOP

Projected3.0
Scored3.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 86% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 29 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 39 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19