PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Killian Hayes

Sacramento Kings · PG · 6'4"

5.5Points

2.4Rebounds

3.5Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 23 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-0.39AUGURMeasured band ±1.16

-0.81Offense

+0.42Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 3,077 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.837Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss4.1

His game-to-game variation4.9

Expected at this scoring level4.5

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 23 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Mid-range scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim18.1% of attempts-16.2

Short mid-range27.5% of attempts+11.0

Long mid-range8.7% of attempts+3.1

Corner three5.8% of attempts-0.8

Above-break three39.9% of attempts+3.0

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

54.8%Self-created makes

36.6%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 138 attempts · 78 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-07 · vs GSW

Projected6.7

Scored18.0

The call we got closest

2026-03-19 · vs PHI

Projected7.4

Scored8.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 78% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 23 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

He sets up

Malik Monk15

Nique Clifford14

Daeqwon Plowden12

Sets him up

DeMar DeRozan5

Nique Clifford3

Maxime Raynaud2

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 51 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19