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AMAjay Mitchell

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Ajay Mitchell

Oklahoma City Thunder · SG · 6'4"

13.8Points
3.4Rebounds
3.7Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 68 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+3.22AUGURMeasured band ±1.39
+0.77Offense
+2.46Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 4,468 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.839Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 13% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss4.7
His game-to-game variation5.6
Expected at this scoring level6.4

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 68 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Rim creator

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim50.9% of attempts+17.0
Short mid-range15.8% of attempts+3.7
Long mid-range3.6% of attempts-0.9
Corner three7.8% of attempts-4.0
Above-break three21.9% of attempts-15.7
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
58.7%Self-created makes
53.1%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 727 attempts · 114 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-10-23 · vs IND

Projected7.8
Scored26.0

The call we got closest

2025-12-13 · vs SAS

Projected8.9
Scored9.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 82% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 68 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 161 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19