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WRWill Riley

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Will Riley

Washington Wizards · SF · 6'9"

10.4Points
2.9Rebounds
2.0Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 73 games. Team shown for this season.

Next game

MIL at WAS ·

1.1Steals66% chance of 1+
Explore all projections

Model projections · 2026.06.08-multistat-lgbm-q+ovl1 · Updated 2026-09-18 12:42:21. Sign in for the complete box score.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-2.25AUGURMeasured band ±1.16
+0.15Offense
-2.40Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 3,293 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.610Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 99% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss4.7
His game-to-game variation7.7
Expected at this scoring level5.8

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 73 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Balanced creator

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim40.3% of attempts+2.8
Short mid-range14.9% of attempts+0.8
Long mid-range4.9% of attempts-0.2
Corner three7.6% of attempts-3.2
Above-break three32.4% of attempts-0.1
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
42.8%Self-created makes
50.2%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 618 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-07 · vs CHI

Projected18.9
Scored2.0

The call we got closest

2026-03-29 · vs POR

Projected14.0
Scored14.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 82% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 73 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 109 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19