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TMT.J. McConnell

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

T.J. McConnell

Indiana Pacers · PG · 6'1"

9.4Points
2.2Rebounds
5.1Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 56 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+0.51AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
+0.77Offense
-0.26Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 8,820 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.848Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 10% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss3.9
His game-to-game variation4.6
Expected at this scoring level5.5

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 56 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Mid-range creator

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim34.4% of attempts+0.1
Short mid-range41.8% of attempts+25.3
Long mid-range12.7% of attempts+7.1
Corner three2.0% of attempts-4.6
Above-break three9.1% of attempts-27.8
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
66.5%Self-created makes
55.6%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 450 attempts · 78 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-01-08 · vs CHO

Projected9.4
Scored23.0

The call we got closest

2026-03-01 · vs MEM

Projected7.8
Scored8.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 80% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 56 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 151 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19