PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Spencer Jones

Denver Nuggets · SF · 6'7"

5.6Points

3.2Rebounds

0.8Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 70 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+0.45AUGURMeasured band ±1.16

-0.17Offense

+0.62Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 3,228 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.702Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss4.0

His game-to-game variation5.7

Expected at this scoring level4.6

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 70 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Corner finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim40.6% of attempts+3.1

Short mid-range2.5% of attempts-11.6

Long mid-range1.1% of attempts-4.0

Corner three33.5% of attempts+22.7

Above-break three22.4% of attempts-10.1

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

14.5%Self-created makes

63.3%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 281 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-12-01 · vs DAL

Projected6.2

Scored28.0

The call we got closest

2026-03-24 · vs PHO

Projected4.0

Scored4.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 77% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 70 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

He sets up

Tim Hardaway Jr.14

Nikola Jokić8

Jamal Murray7

Sets him up

Jamal Murray36

Nikola Jokić36

Cameron Johnson8

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 109 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19