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PWPeyton Watson

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Peyton Watson

Denver Nuggets · SF · 6'8"

14.6Points
4.9Rebounds
2.1Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 54 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-0.76AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
-1.48Offense
+0.72Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 9,548 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.655Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 97% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss5.7
His game-to-game variation8.7
Expected at this scoring level6.5

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 54 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Rim finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim47.3% of attempts+9.8
Short mid-range13.4% of attempts-0.7
Long mid-range5.3% of attempts+0.2
Corner three13.3% of attempts+2.5
Above-break three20.7% of attempts-11.8
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
25.6%Self-created makes
56.0%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 581 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-11-19 · vs NOP

Projected10.4
Scored32.0

The call we got closest

2026-01-17 · vs WAS

Projected21.1
Scored21.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 67% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 54 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 210 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19