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PWPatrick Williams

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Patrick Williams

Chicago Bulls · PF · 6'6"

7.0Points
3.0Rebounds
1.5Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 72 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-1.24AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
-1.90Offense
+0.66Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 8,523 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.783Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast
Our typical miss3.6
His game-to-game variation4.6
Expected at this scoring level5.0

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 72 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim32.6% of attempts-11.6
Short mid-range9.0% of attempts-2.9
Long mid-range1.0% of attempts-2.9
Corner three8.8% of attempts-3.6
Above-break three48.5% of attempts+20.8
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
31.5%Self-created makes
47.2%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 478 attempts · 81 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-07 · vs WAS

Projected8.3
Scored20.0

The call we got closest

2025-12-05 · vs IND

Projected9.0
Scored9.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 86% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 72 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 75 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19