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PSPat Spencer

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Pat Spencer

Golden State Warriors · PG · 6'2"

7.2Points
2.4Rebounds
3.5Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 66 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-0.67AUGURMeasured band ±1.16
+0.24Offense
-0.91Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 2,924 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.759Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast
Our typical miss4.4
His game-to-game variation5.8
Expected at this scoring level5.0

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 66 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Mid-range scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim33.8% of attempts-0.5
Short mid-range24.7% of attempts+8.2
Long mid-range3.0% of attempts-2.6
Corner three6.6% of attempts+0.0
Above-break three32.0% of attempts-4.9
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
57.2%Self-created makes
49.5%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 438 attempts · 78 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-02-05 · vs PHO

Projected5.1
Scored20.0

The call we got closest

2025-11-19 · vs MIA

Projected10.9
Scored11.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 74% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 66 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 106 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19