PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Pat Connaughton

Charlotte Hornets · SG · 6'5"

2.6Points

1.4Rebounds

0.4Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 42 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-0.97AUGURMeasured band ±1.39

-0.46Offense

-0.51Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 5,248 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.788Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss2.6

His game-to-game variation3.3

Expected at this scoring level3.4

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 42 games · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-11-19 · vs IND

Projected4.6

Scored13.0

The call we got closest

2025-11-17 · vs TOR

Projected4.9

Scored5.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 88% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 42 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19