PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Nick Smith Jr.

Los Angeles Lakers · SG · 6'2"

5.6Points

0.7Rebounds

0.9Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 36 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-4.65AUGURMeasured band ±1.39

-2.59Offense

-2.06Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 4,838 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.783Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss4.7

His game-to-game variation6.0

Expected at this scoring level4.6

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 36 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Mid-range creator

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim12.6% of attempts-21.3

Short mid-range29.7% of attempts+17.6

Long mid-range4.6% of attempts+0.1

Corner three5.7% of attempts-6.1

Above-break three47.4% of attempts+9.8

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

48.7%Self-created makes

54.0%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 175 attempts · 114 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-11-03 · vs POR

Projected7.8

Scored25.0

The call we got closest

2026-01-17 · vs POR

Projected4.6

Scored5.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 81% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 36 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19