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MWMoritz Wagner

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Moritz Wagner

Orlando Magic · C · 6'11"

6.6Points
3.1Rebounds
0.7Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 38 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+0.51AUGURMeasured band ±1.39
+1.10Offense
-0.59Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 4,794 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.700Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast
Our typical miss2.8
His game-to-game variation4.0
Expected at this scoring level4.9

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 38 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other C players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim60.2% of attempts-2.1
Short mid-range4.0% of attempts-6.9
Long mid-range0.0% of attempts-2.4
Corner three8.5% of attempts+3.4
Above-break three27.4% of attempts+8.1
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
14.3%Self-created makes
47.5%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 201 attempts · 77 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-01-22 · vs CHO

Projected5.3
Scored14.0

The call we got closest

2026-04-08 · vs MIN

Projected4.0
Scored4.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 95% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 38 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 56 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19