PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Mike Conley

Minnesota Timberwolves · PG · 6'1"

4.5Points

1.6Rebounds

2.9Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 66 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+1.53AUGURMeasured band ±1.25

+0.09Offense

+1.44Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 11,254 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.771Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss2.7

His game-to-game variation3.5

Expected at this scoring level4.2

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 66 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim12.3% of attempts-22.0

Short mid-range9.5% of attempts-7.0

Long mid-range2.4% of attempts-3.2

Corner three20.9% of attempts+14.3

Above-break three54.9% of attempts+18.0

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

14.3%Self-created makes

49.6%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 253 attempts · 78 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-02 · vs DET

Projected4.1

Scored14.0

The call we got closest

2026-04-27 · vs DEN

Projected4.0

Scored4.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 85% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 66 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

He sets up

Naz Reid34

Julius Randle33

Jaden McDaniels23

Sets him up

Julius Randle27

Rudy Gobert12

Terrence Shannon Jr.7

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 136 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19