PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Lindy Waters III

San Antonio Spurs · SG · 6'5"

2.2Points

0.7Rebounds

0.5Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 49 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-1.40AUGURMeasured band ±1.16

-1.17Offense

-0.23Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 2,641 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.815Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss2.2

His game-to-game variation2.7

Expected at this scoring level3.2

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 49 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim7.9% of attempts-26.0

Short mid-range4.0% of attempts-8.1

Long mid-range2.0% of attempts-2.5

Corner three22.8% of attempts+11.0

Above-break three63.4% of attempts+25.8

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

15.4%Self-created makes

53.5%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 101 attempts · 114 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-03-17 · vs SAC

Projected2.4

Scored11.0

The call we got closest

2025-11-28 · vs DEN

Projected3.0

Scored3.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 90% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 49 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19