PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Leaky Black

Washington Wizards · SF · 6'6"

7.1Points

5.0Rebounds

1.5Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 15 games. Team shown for this season.

How well we read him

0.857Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss4.2

His game-to-game variation4.9

Expected at this scoring level5.0

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 15 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Corner finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim21.4% of attempts-16.1

Short mid-range16.5% of attempts+2.4

Long mid-range8.7% of attempts+3.6

Corner three24.3% of attempts+13.5

Above-break three29.1% of attempts-3.4

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

25.0%Self-created makes

48.1%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 103 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-03-05 · vs UTA

Projected5.9

Scored16.0

The call we got closest

2026-04-10 · vs MIA

Projected8.4

Scored8.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 73% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 15 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19