PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Larry Nance Jr.

Cleveland Cavaliers · PF · 6'6"

3.5Points

2.5Rebounds

0.9Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 37 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+1.05AUGURMeasured band ±1.39

-0.28Offense

+1.32Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 4,268 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.848Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss2.8

His game-to-game variation3.3

Expected at this scoring level3.8

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 37 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Corner finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim42.7% of attempts-1.5

Short mid-range6.5% of attempts-5.4

Long mid-range0.0% of attempts-3.9

Corner three23.4% of attempts+11.0

Above-break three27.4% of attempts-0.3

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

13.5%Self-created makes

50.4%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 124 attempts · 81 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-10-31 · vs TOR

Projected6.7

Scored0.0

The call we got closest

2026-02-11 · vs WAS

Projected2.9

Scored3.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 78% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 37 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19