PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

KJ Simpson

Denver Nuggets · PG · 6'2"

4.5Points

1.9Rebounds

2.1Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 20 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-2.86AUGURMeasured band ±1.16

-2.12Offense

-0.73Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 2,138 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.818Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss3.6

His game-to-game variation4.4

Expected at this scoring level4.2

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 20 games · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-11-07 · vs MIA

Projected7.2

Scored0.0

The call we got closest

2025-12-12 · vs CHI

Projected9.9

Scored10.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 85% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 20 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19