PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Keshad Johnson

Miami Heat · SF · 6'6"

4.2Points

1.9Rebounds

0.2Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 32 games. Team shown for this season.

How well we read him

0.721Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss3.1

His game-to-game variation4.3

Expected at this scoring level4.1

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 32 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Rim scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim54.8% of attempts+17.3

Short mid-range1.9% of attempts-12.2

Long mid-range1.0% of attempts-4.1

Corner three15.4% of attempts+4.6

Above-break three26.9% of attempts-5.6

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

29.3%Self-created makes

55.3%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 104 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-03-17 · vs CHO

Projected3.5

Scored15.0

The call we got closest

2026-03-23 · vs SAS

Projected4.0

Scored4.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 84% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 32 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19