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JVJonas Valančiūnas

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Jonas Valančiūnas

Denver Nuggets · C · 6'11"

8.4Points
4.9Rebounds
1.1Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 69 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+2.04AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
+0.38Offense
+1.66Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 8,653 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.787Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 50% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss3.7
His game-to-game variation4.7
Expected at this scoring level5.3

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 69 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Mid-range creator

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other C players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim66.5% of attempts+4.2
Short mid-range23.2% of attempts+12.3
Long mid-range3.8% of attempts+1.4
Corner three0.3% of attempts-4.8
Above-break three6.3% of attempts-13.0
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
42.2%Self-created makes
59.4%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 397 attempts · 77 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-10 · vs OKC

Projected10.4
Scored23.0

The call we got closest

2025-12-15 · vs HOU

Projected8.1
Scored8.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 81% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 69 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 124 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19