PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Jae'Sean Tate

Houston Rockets · SF · 6'4"

2.7Points

1.6Rebounds

0.5Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 51 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+0.57AUGURMeasured band ±1.16

+0.11Offense

+0.46Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 3,105 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.862Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss2.5

His game-to-game variation2.9

Expected at this scoring level3.5

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 51 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Rim creator

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim59.7% of attempts+22.2

Short mid-range9.2% of attempts-4.9

Long mid-range0.8% of attempts-4.3

Corner three16.8% of attempts+6.0

Above-break three13.4% of attempts-19.1

Less oftenPosition baselineMore often

44.1%Self-created makes

53.8%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 119 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-12 · vs MEM

Projected4.2

Scored13.0

The call we got closest

2026-01-23 · vs DET

Projected4.2

Scored4.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 96% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 51 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19