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JHJaden Hardy

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Jaden Hardy

Washington Wizards · SG · 6'3"

9.2Points
1.5Rebounds
1.0Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 57 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-3.05AUGURMeasured band ±1.39
-0.73Offense
-2.32Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 5,717 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.769Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 63% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss5.0
His game-to-game variation6.5
Expected at this scoring level5.5

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 57 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Corner scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim22.6% of attempts-11.3
Short mid-range12.8% of attempts+0.7
Long mid-range3.5% of attempts-1.0
Corner three18.2% of attempts+6.4
Above-break three42.9% of attempts+5.3
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
36.3%Self-created makes
54.5%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 429 attempts · 114 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-12-05 · vs OKC

Projected4.7
Scored23.0

The call we got closest

2026-02-03 · vs BOS

Projected7.0
Scored7.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 79% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 57 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 56 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19