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JSJabari Smith Jr.

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Jabari Smith Jr.

Houston Rockets · PF · 6'11"

15.9Points
7.0Rebounds
1.9Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 83 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+1.62AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
+0.27Offense
+1.35Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 12,361 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.792Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 45% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss4.2
His game-to-game variation5.3
Expected at this scoring level6.7

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 83 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Mid-range finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim24.3% of attempts-19.9
Short mid-range19.2% of attempts+7.3
Long mid-range5.7% of attempts+1.8
Corner three17.2% of attempts+4.8
Above-break three33.7% of attempts+6.0
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
20.9%Self-created makes
53.7%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 1,059 attempts · 81 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-01-18 · vs NOP

Projected15.3
Scored32.0

The call we got closest

2026-01-29 · vs ATL

Projected14.0
Scored14.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 92% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 83 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 338 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19