PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Garrison Mathews

Indiana Pacers · SG · 6'5"

5.2Points

1.1Rebounds

0.7Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 15 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+0.45AUGURMeasured band ±1.39

-0.16Offense

+0.61Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 4,043 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.818Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss3.6

His game-to-game variation4.4

Expected at this scoring level4.4

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 15 games · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-12-01 · vs CLE

Projected3.9

Scored15.0

The call we got closest

2025-12-08 · vs SAC

Projected5.9

Scored7.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 93% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 15 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19