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DMDavion Mitchell

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Davion Mitchell

Miami Heat · PG · 6'0"

9.3Points
2.7Rebounds
6.5Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 70 games. Team shown for this season.

Next game

MIN at MIA ·

4.0Assists80% range 2.0–8.0
Explore all projections

Model projections · 2026.06.08-multistat-lgbm-q+ovl1 · Updated 2026-09-18 12:42:21. Sign in for the complete box score.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+1.90AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
+1.52Offense
+0.38Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 10,576 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.822Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 23% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss3.7
His game-to-game variation4.5
Expected at this scoring level5.5

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 70 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Rim scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim44.0% of attempts+9.7
Short mid-range9.9% of attempts-6.6
Long mid-range3.6% of attempts-2.0
Corner three4.7% of attempts-1.9
Above-break three37.9% of attempts+1.0
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
49.6%Self-created makes
57.5%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 557 attempts · 78 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-01 · vs BOS

Projected10.2
Scored21.0

The call we got closest

2025-11-14 · vs NYK

Projected10.8
Scored11.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 86% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 70 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 328 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19