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BCBub Carrington

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Bub Carrington

Washington Wizards · PG · 6'4"

10.7Points
3.4Rebounds
4.7Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 82 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-2.99AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
-1.49Offense
-1.50Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 9,571 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.707Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 89% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss4.1
His game-to-game variation5.8
Expected at this scoring level5.8

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 82 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim13.4% of attempts-20.9
Short mid-range15.7% of attempts-0.8
Long mid-range15.1% of attempts+9.5
Corner three6.5% of attempts-0.1
Above-break three49.4% of attempts+12.5
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
49.0%Self-created makes
53.8%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 741 attempts · 78 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-03-17 · vs DET

Projected8.5
Scored30.0

The call we got closest

2025-10-22 · vs MIL

Projected10.9
Scored11.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 89% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 82 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 182 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19