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BCBranden Carlson

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Branden Carlson

Oklahoma City Thunder · C · 7'0"

5.8Points
3.0Rebounds
0.7Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 42 games. Team shown for this season.

Next game

PHO at POR ·

0.9Blocks57% chance of 1+
Explore all projections

Model projections · 2026.06.08-multistat-lgbm-q+ovl1 · Updated 2026-09-18 12:42:21. Sign in for the complete box score.

How well we read him

0.717Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast
Our typical miss4.3
His game-to-game variation6.0
Expected at this scoring level4.6

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 42 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Three-point finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other C players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim51.1% of attempts-11.2
Short mid-range1.6% of attempts-9.3
Long mid-range1.1% of attempts-1.3
Corner three7.5% of attempts+2.4
Above-break three38.7% of attempts+19.4
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
11.2%Self-created makes
61.0%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 186 attempts · 77 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-04-10 · vs DEN

Projected11.9
Scored23.0

The call we got closest

2025-12-18 · vs LAC

Projected4.0
Scored4.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 76% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 42 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 53 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19