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ASAlex Sarr

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Alex Sarr

Washington Wizards · C · 7'0"

16.3Points
7.4Rebounds
2.7Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 48 games. Team shown for this season.

Next game

MIL at WAS ·

1.3Blocks68% chance of 1+
Explore all projections

Model projections · 2026.06.08-multistat-lgbm-q+ovl1 · Updated 2026-09-18 12:42:21. Sign in for the complete box score.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-0.35AUGURMeasured band ±1.39
-1.63Offense
+1.28Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 6,383 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.824Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 21% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss6.1
His game-to-game variation7.4
Expected at this scoring level6.8

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 48 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Mid-range scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other C players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim58.8% of attempts-3.5
Short mid-range14.3% of attempts+3.4
Long mid-range4.0% of attempts+1.6
Corner three1.4% of attempts-3.7
Above-break three21.5% of attempts+2.2
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
28.8%Self-created makes
52.0%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 656 attempts · 77 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-11-05 · vs BOS

Projected13.9
Scored31.0

The call we got closest

2026-01-17 · vs DEN

Projected16.1
Scored16.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 71% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 48 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 184 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19