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ACAlex Caruso

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Alex Caruso

Oklahoma City Thunder · SG · 6'5"

7.2Points
2.8Rebounds
2.0Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 71 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+5.03AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
+0.26Offense
+4.77Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 9,152 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.750Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast
Our typical miss4.2
His game-to-game variation5.6
Expected at this scoring level5.0

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 71 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Corner finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SG players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim34.5% of attempts+0.6
Short mid-range3.1% of attempts-9.0
Long mid-range1.0% of attempts-3.5
Corner three25.3% of attempts+13.5
Above-break three36.1% of attempts-1.5
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
19.8%Self-created makes
54.2%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 415 attempts · 114 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-05-18 · vs SAS

Projected5.5
Scored31.0

The call we got closest

2025-12-28 · vs PHI

Projected7.0
Scored7.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 75% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 71 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 154 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19