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ABAce Bailey

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Ace Bailey

Utah Jazz · SF · 6'9"

14.0Points
4.2Rebounds
1.8Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 71 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-1.33AUGURMeasured band ±1.39
-0.30Offense
-1.04Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 4,055 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.720Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 85% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss5.4
His game-to-game variation7.5
Expected at this scoring level6.4

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 71 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Long-two finisher

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other SF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim27.6% of attempts-9.9
Short mid-range14.2% of attempts+0.1
Long mid-range13.6% of attempts+8.5
Corner three11.4% of attempts+0.6
Above-break three33.2% of attempts+0.7
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
23.8%Self-created makes
52.0%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 892 attempts · 80 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-03-23 · vs TOR

Projected18.9
Scored37.0

The call we got closest

2026-03-30 · vs CLE

Projected19.8
Scored19.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 83% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 71 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 189 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19