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AGAaron Gordon

PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · PF · 6'8"

15.8Points
5.8Rebounds
2.6Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 39 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

+2.90AUGURMeasured band ±1.25
+2.03Offense
+0.87Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 11,128 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.690Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

More forecastable than 93% of the qualifying pool.

Harder to readEasier to read
Our typical miss6.0
His game-to-game variation8.7
Expected at this scoring level6.7

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 39 games · Updated 2026-09-19

His shot fingerprint

Balanced scorer

Shots per 100 attempts, relative to other PF players. The fine marker shows the league relative to the same baseline.

At the rim42.1% of attempts-2.1
Short mid-range12.4% of attempts+0.5
Long mid-range5.6% of attempts+1.7
Corner three9.8% of attempts-2.6
Above-break three30.1% of attempts+2.4
Less oftenPosition baselineMore often
28.6%Self-created makes
56.5%Effective FG

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 428 attempts · 81 position peers · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2025-10-23 · vs GSW

Projected11.8
Scored50.0

The call we got closest

2026-01-22 · vs WAS

Projected16.1
Scored16.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 80% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 39 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19

Passing connections

Play-by-play · 2025-26 · 162 assisted makes · Updated 2026-09-19