PLAYER PROFILE · 2025-26

A.J. Lawson

Toronto Raptors · SG · 6'6"

3.6Points

1.5Rebounds

0.3Assists

Season box scores · 2025-26 · 31 games. Team shown for this season.

Player impact

BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

-0.02AUGURMeasured band ±1.16

+0.28Offense

-0.30Defense

Our estimate of impact per 100 possessions. Read the value alongside its sample and measured band.

How AUGUR works

AUGUR · 3-season window · 2,128 possessions · Updated 2026-09-19

How well we read him

0.800Error / own variationLower means easier to forecast

Our typical miss3.6

His game-to-game variation4.5

Expected at this scoring level3.9

Forecastability is not consistency: a player can vary a lot and still be well predicted. Percentiles compare 248 players with 20+ games and 8.0+ PPG. The index still favors more variable players to some extent.

Forecasts + box scores · 2025-26 · 31 games · Updated 2026-09-19

Our record on him

The night we missed

2026-03-29 · vs ORL

Projected2.3

Scored14.0

The call we got closest

2026-04-10 · vs NYK

Projected5.0

Scored5.0

Our 80% points range contained the result in 81% of his graded games. The target is 80%; higher coverage is not a higher accuracy score.

Archived forecasts + results · 2025-26 · 31 graded games · Updated 2026-09-19