Most under-rated NBA scorers 2025-26
Players who out-scored our pre-game projection most this season (positive bias) — an honest look at where the model runs low.
| # | Player | Team | Bias (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauri Markkanen | UTA | 2.5 |
| 2 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 2.3 |
| 3 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | ATL | 2.0 |
| 4 | Sam Merrill | CLE | 2.0 |
| 5 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | MEM | 2.0 |
| 6 | Javon Small | MEM | 2.0 |
| 7 | Leonard Miller | CHI | 2.0 |
| 8 | Luka Dončić | LAL | 1.9 |
| 9 | Kon Knueppel | CHO | 1.9 |
| 10 | Micah Potter | IND | 1.9 |
| 11 | Stephen Curry | GSW | 1.8 |
| 12 | Michael Porter Jr. | BRK | 1.8 |
| 13 | Jerami Grant | POR | 1.8 |
| 14 | Austin Reaves | LAL | 1.7 |
| 15 | Norman Powell | MIA | 1.7 |
| 16 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 1.7 |
| 17 | Kristaps Porziņģis | GSW | 1.7 |
| 18 | Ayo Dosunmu | MIN | 1.7 |
| 19 | Daeqwon Plowden | SAC | 1.7 |
| 20 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 1.6 |
| 21 | Tre Jones | CHI | 1.6 |
| 22 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DEN | 1.6 |
| 23 | Sharife Cooper | WAS | 1.6 |
| 24 | Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 1.5 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 1.5 |
| 26 | Reed Sheppard | HOU | 1.5 |
| 27 | Cam Spencer | MEM | 1.5 |
| 28 | Paul Reed | DET | 1.5 |
| 29 | Grayson Allen | PHO | 1.4 |
| 30 | Maxime Raynaud | SAC | 1.4 |