Most predictable NBA scorers 2025-26
The scorers our model projects most accurately this season — lowest average points error. We publish the misses too.
| # | Player | Team | MAE (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 1.5 |
| 2 | Bismack Biyombo | SAS | 1.5 |
| 3 | Jordan McLaughlin | SAS | 1.7 |
| 4 | Xavier Tillman Sr. | CHO | 1.9 |
| 5 | Joe Ingles | MIN | 2.0 |
| 6 | Julian Phillips | MIN | 2.1 |
| 7 | Chris Youngblood | POR | 2.1 |
| 8 | Jeff Green | HOU | 2.1 |
| 9 | Pacôme Dadiet | NYK | 2.1 |
| 10 | Maxi Kleber | LAL | 2.1 |
| 11 | Jonathan Mogbo | TOR | 2.1 |
| 12 | Khaman Maluach | PHO | 2.2 |
| 13 | Lindy Waters III | SAS | 2.2 |
| 14 | Chaz Lanier | DET | 2.2 |
| 15 | Ariel Hukporti | NYK | 2.2 |
| 16 | Yang Hansen | POR | 2.2 |
| 17 | Brooks Barnhizer | OKC | 2.2 |
| 18 | Adou Thiero | LAL | 2.2 |
| 19 | JD Davison | HOU | 2.3 |
| 20 | Gary Harris | MIL | 2.4 |
| 21 | Lachlan Olbrich | CHI | 2.4 |
| 22 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 2.4 |
| 23 | Isaiah Livers | PHO | 2.4 |
| 24 | Jae'Sean Tate | HOU | 2.5 |
| 25 | Tony Bradley | ATL | 2.6 |
| 26 | Clint Capela | HOU | 2.6 |
| 27 | Cam Christie | LAC | 2.6 |
| 28 | Pat Connaughton | CHO | 2.6 |
| 29 | Dru Smith | MIA | 2.7 |
| 30 | Matisse Thybulle | POR | 2.7 |